Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 58.597205 66.676375 75.000865 84.185779 94.003471 104.152832 115.407858
2025-05-11 45.514374 56.879987 69.197520 83.400020 99.192793 116.095312 135.435941
2025-05-18 38.419177 51.587148 66.402512 84.020369 104.134298 126.144439 151.820506
2025-05-25 32.432194 46.664826 63.249546 83.523706 107.202549 133.598567 164.879036
2025-06-01 28.084138 43.111679 61.192108 83.835910 110.797108 141.315915 177.944718
2025-06-08 23.881812 39.248723 58.354947 82.861924 112.585758 146.717699 188.164418
2025-06-15 21.349839 37.247136 57.575322 84.168021 116.903388 154.919694 201.502448
2025-06-22 19.228963 35.560647 57.010867 85.586458 121.237011 163.055315 214.704297
2025-06-29 16.552047 32.817080 54.856596 84.825490 122.769984 167.764287 223.808563
2025-07-06 13.777105 29.621254 51.861304 82.786046 122.559194 170.258323 230.191815
2025-07-13 13.064948 29.459232 52.941264 86.000692 128.883563 180.625163 245.939531
2025-07-20 12.011849 28.648587 53.041299 87.867412 133.472466 188.867228 259.147234
2025-07-27 10.315777 26.635079 51.344982 87.290874 134.951597 193.346007 267.913504
2025-08-03 8.735007 24.616630 49.505182 86.417032 135.976912 197.222610 275.931729
2025-08-10 7.709735 23.443192 48.823698 87.061753 138.919431 203.440402 286.772762
2025-08-17 6.541849 21.837469 47.375346 86.552776 140.288906 207.654002 295.140140
2025-08-24 5.678801 20.693724 46.558241 86.871889 142.708020 213.157278 305.075065
2025-08-31 4.673488 19.080272 44.883105 85.877138 143.313138 216.326875 312.104624
2025-09-07 4.179797 18.498256 44.835246 87.211007 147.029331 223.439717 324.018333
2025-09-14 3.751815 17.996331 44.881639 88.659395 150.889242 230.735376 336.168829
2025-09-21 3.051399 16.683620 43.470201 87.882384 151.672747 234.061022 343.355497
2025-09-28 2.290047 14.982881 41.255325 85.799647 150.588900 234.927455 347.424036
2025-10-05 2.229797 15.256219 42.555983 89.082338 156.948825 245.450374 363.645537